US Presidential Elections
The last two weeks in US politics have been a perfect recipe for a Hollywood hit, filled with thriller, tragedy, and suspense. Former President Donald Trump has literally managed to duck bullets, while President Joe Biden has dropped out of the race. Vice President Kamala Harris has entered the presidential contest, stepping up to steer the Democrats’ shrinking ship. In the same vein, recently a viral post from the X handle “Kamala Wins” has been circulating on social media, claiming that polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Kamala Wins shared on X that a new poll released today shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. Let’s go.’
Sara Anderson claimed, ‘New polling shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. Let’s keep this momentum going!’
Popular liberal asserted, ‘New polling released today shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. Let’s go.’
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We began our fact-checking process by examining the latest poll data for Michigan and Pennsylvania. According to a news report from The Hill published on July 26, 2024, Vice President Harris is tied with former President Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and trails him by one point in Wisconsin, according to new Fox News polls released on Friday. The polls show Harris and Trump both at 49 percent support in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Harris has 49 percent support compared to Trump’s 50 percent in Wisconsin.
The Hill also reported that back in April, Biden was tied with Trump at 48 percent in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and was three points behind Trump in Michigan, with 46 percent support to Trump’s 49 percent.
Nationwide, a Wall Street Journal poll shows former President Trump leading Vice President Harris by two points. Trump garnered 49 percent support among registered voters compared to Harris’s 47 percent, following Biden’s exit from the 2024 presidential race.
Similarly, a report from the New York Times reflects this trend, with Trump leading Harris by two points. However, Harris has managed to narrow the gap left by Biden.
It’s important to note that Michigan, often referred to as America’s Jihad capital due to its large Arab Muslim population, has seen a decline in Democratic Party popularity, largely attributed to Biden’s handling of the Israel-Palestine conflict and the continuous supply of weapons to Israel. However, Michigan is a blue state; it voted Republican from 1972 to 1988 but turned blue for six consecutive presidential elections from 1992 to 2012. Trump narrowly won Michigan in the 2016 election against Hillary Clinton but was defeated by Biden in the subsequent cycle.
In conclusion, Vice President Kamala Harris is not leading Donald Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The Fox News survey indicates a tie between the two candidates in these states. However, the situation remains fluid, especially after the recent warm reception of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu by the US Congress.
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